I do not know the track record of Mr. El-Erian in terms of economic analysis or policy, but I have seen him a number of times on CNN and feel he deals with economic issues fairly. He shared some of his insights on recent and upcoming dialog between the Fed and Congress in a deeply revealing article on BloombergView. The article goes into short detail about what he sees as some of the economic issues (jobs, financial market stability, and probable investor response) and sense of how those issues might be dealt with in discussion between the Fed and Congress. In short, the prognosis is not positive. More to come.